Eastern Michigan
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
121  Willy Fink JR 31:53
227  Lahsene Bouchikhi FR 32:16
252  Nicholas Raymond SO 32:20
254  Hylnur Andresson FR 32:20
336  Warren Witchell SR 32:34
647  John Knox III SO 33:06
961  Mitchell Lenneman FR 33:36
1,215  Steve Hammond SR 33:57
1,275  Cameron Trinh SR 34:01
National Rank #40 of 311
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 18.4%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 4.1%


Regional Champion 0.2%
Top 5 in Regional 82.3%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Willy Fink Lahsene Bouchikhi Nicholas Raymond Hylnur Andresson Warren Witchell John Knox III Mitchell Lenneman Steve Hammond Cameron Trinh
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 859 31:51 32:08 32:40 33:29 33:38 33:19 34:27
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue Race) 10/18 731 31:43 32:13 32:11 32:31 33:04 33:19 34:14
MAC Championship 11/01 738 32:06 32:13 32:25 32:17 32:33 33:06 33:25 34:06 33:39
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 752 32:02 32:38 32:11 32:15 32:36 32:40 34:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 18.4% 24.5 596 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.4
Region Championship 100% 4.9 154 0.2 1.6 5.2 16.1 59.1 12.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Willy Fink 48.4% 94.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Lahsene Bouchikhi 20.0% 140.9
Nicholas Raymond 19.3% 153.2
Hylnur Andresson 19.0% 149.0
Warren Witchell 18.4% 182.3
John Knox III 18.4% 231.7
Mitchell Lenneman 18.5% 247.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Willy Fink 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.5 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.8 6.1 5.5 5.5 4.7 3.9 4.3 4.4 3.4 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.8 2.1
Lahsene Bouchikhi 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.7 3.8 3.4 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.1
Nicholas Raymond 29.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.6 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.4 2.9
Hylnur Andresson 29.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.8 2.7 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.6
Warren Witchell 39.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.6
John Knox III 62.9
Mitchell Lenneman 93.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 1
2 1.6% 100.0% 1.6 1.6 2
3 5.2% 90.8% 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 4.7 3
4 16.1% 73.1% 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.6 2.5 1.5 1.3 4.3 11.8 4
5 59.1% 0.1% 0.0 59.1 0.0 5
6 12.6% 12.6 6
7 3.5% 3.5 7
8 1.2% 1.2 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 18.4% 0.2 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.4 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.1 2.9 1.8 1.4 0.0 81.6 1.8 16.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas-Arlington 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0